Wednesday, October 24, 2012

2A District 1/2 Preview


UPDATE: 10-05 - confirmed that Sammamish will not be running a full, scoring girls team, as they have only registered 3 runners for the meet.  The same three that ran in the varsity race at their Conference meet.  The potential effect would be a possible point detriment to Burlington because if RaynJoy Norton had slipped in front of Silva and Silva counted in the scoring it could have given Burlington a point advantage on Cedarcrest.  But, with four state spots, it is unlikely this will have any effect on the teams qualifying for state.

Projected District Results.  Just a rough estimate to see how things look going in.  This is based mainly from merging the conference meets with time adjustments for courses.  An occasional additional adjustment here or there.  Northwest Conference Course used as base zero.  40 second adjustment for Cascade Conference Course  at South Whidbey and 10 seconds from Kingco at Lake Sammammish – don’t know reason why, but Lake Sammammish course did not appear to run as fast as it usually does.  Cascade Conference adjustment is always difficult as the conference meet is usually pretty spread out, likely affecting times more than just a course adjustment.  Again rough estimates as no other major adjustments were made for off days and no graduated adjustment used.  Some teams take their conference meets pretty easy and some teams pretty much guaranteed state berths take a more conservative approach at Districts.  Plus, some kids simply run out of their heads to make it to state, so should be interesting…

Boys-3 teams to state

Sehome                       49
Squalicum                   69
Bellingham                  71
Cedarcrest                   111
Anacortes                    118
Lakewood                   137
Lake Washington        198
Burlington-E               212
Archbishop-M             250
Granite Falls                278
Sammammish              312
Lynden                        358
Sedro Woolley            369


Girls-4 teams to state
Assuming that Sammammish will not run a full scoring team - Confirmed, see note at top of post.

Sehome                       25
Bellingham                  77
Cedarcrest                   82
Burlington-E               101
Lakewood                   146
Squalicum                   179
Lake Washington        222
Sedro Woolley            240
Granite Falls                252
Archibishop-M            263
Anacortes                    278
Lynden                        inc.
Sammamish                 inc.

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